Author: Andy(andy@1024ai.cc)

The Farmer and the Snake: Europe’s Stupidity and the Viper It Raised With Its Own Hands

Europe is not the farmer. The farmer, at least, knew he was saving a snake. Europe did not even know what it was warming in its chest — and the snake it was warming was precisely the ghost that Europe’s own historical debt had always pointed at.

Europe’s Values Narrative: A Convenient Fiction

When Russia invaded in February 2022, Europe’s response was almost reflexive — 48 hours of sanctions, two weeks of weapons approvals. Europeans interpreted this as: we are fighting for our values.

Published on 2026-07-02 at Andy's Analysis, last modified on 2026-07-02

Author: Andy(andy@1024ai.cc)

In May 2026, the Middle East rode a nerve-wracking rollercoaster.

On May 18, with US military strikes on Iran literally minutes away, Trump suddenly announced the attack was “postponed at the request of Gulf states.” That same day, Iran passed a “new proposal to end the war” through back-channel diplomacy. Oil prices fell, global markets relaxed — briefly.

But behind this fleeting peace narrative, the real calculations are far more tangled than they appear.

Published on 2026-05-19 at Andy's Analysis, last modified on 2026-05-19

Author: Andy(andy@1024ai.cc)

The Iron Hooves of Expansion: Japanese Aggression and Crimes Before WWII

On the night of September 18, 1931, an explosion near Liutiaohu in the northern suburbs of Shenyang shattered the brief peace of East Asia and inaugurated the darkest chapter of Japanese militarist expansion. From Manchuria to North China, from East China to Southeast Asia, the iron hooves of Japanese imperialism trampled across half of Asia over fifteen years, leaving wounds that remain unhealed to this day.

Published on 2026-05-15 at Andy's Analysis, last modified on 2026-05-15

Author: Andy(andy@1024ai.cc)

Military Rearmament and Geopolitics: Escalating Regional Tensions

In 2015, Japan’s security legislation marked the end of the postwar era of the “exclusively defensive defense” policy. In 2022, Japan announced it would raise defense spending to 2% of GDP within five years, formally entering the global arms race.

From a “peace nation” to a “normal state,” Japan’s strategic transformation is reshaping East Asia’s security landscape.

This is the fourth article in the “Reflections on Japanese Militarism” series, examining contemporary Japan’s military expansion and its geopolitical consequences.

Published on 2026-05-15 at Andy's Analysis, last modified on 2026-05-15

Author: Andy(andy@1024ai.cc)

On May 15, 2026, Trump concluded his three-day visit to China. From the guard-of-honor welcome at the Great Hall of the People to a leisurely stroll through the Temple of Heaven with President Xi, from Trump’s declaration that “a lot of problems were settled” to Xi’s stark warning that Taiwan could become “dangerous” — the summit, billed by the White House as “the most important great power meeting of the 21st century,” revealed both genuine goodwill in stabilizing US-China ties and the irreducible reality of deep structural contradictions.

Published on 2026-05-15 at Andy's Analysis, last modified on 2026-05-15

Author: Andy(andy@1024ai.cc)

The “Constructive Strategic Stability” jointly established by Chinese and U.S. heads of state in Beijing on May 14, 2026, is far more than diplomatic rhetoric — it is a “great power ceasefire and rule-setting agreement” reached after years of intense competition. This new framework marks a definitive end to Washington’s fantasy of dictating terms “from a position of strength,” formally entering a new era of strategic stalemate and rule-remaking based on near-peer parity.

Published on 2026-05-14 at Andy's Analysis, last modified on 2026-05-14

Author: Andy(andy@1024ai.cc)

Shifts and Balance: Trump’s Second-Term China Policy and the New Dynamics of US-China Relations

Trump’s second-term China policy has undergone a notable shift from “maximum pressure” to “pragmatic dealmaking.” This transformation stems both from changes in the US-China power balance and from the profound evolution of the global landscape. The world today faces multiple challenges—geopolitical conflicts, economic slowdown, and technological competition—making stable US-China relations a key anchor of the global order.

Published on 2026-05-13 at Andy's Analysis, last modified on 2026-05-13

Author: Andy(andy@1024ai.cc)

As Donald Trump prepares for his upcoming visit to China, an inevitable starting point is to review the logic that guided his previous visits and his entire first term.

For most diplomatic observers, diplomacy is the art of agreements, protocols, and incremental consensus. For Trump, however, diplomacy is essentially a large-scale business negotiation. Reviewing his logic toward China reveals a clear loop: Maximum Pressure → Creating Crisis → Seeking a Deal → Reaching a Visible, Local Agreement.

Published on 2026-05-12 at Andy's Analysis, last modified on 2026-05-12